Publications
Papers are grouped by publication status. The complete record is also available in my CV.
Manuscripts under review
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Zheng, M., Harris, T., & Zhu, S. (2026). Decision-Focused Calibration with Adaptive Conformal Predictive Distributions. ICLR, under review.
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Nill, C., Harris, T., & Adams, J. (2026). Manifold Constrained Conformal Prediction for Spatial Events. ICLR, under review. arXiv
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Yang, J., Harris, T., Park, C., Lopez, K., Harbison, J., Clifton, M. E., Irwin, P., & Smith, R. (2026). Evaluating the Causal Effect of Transition of Larvicides on Culex Mosquito Abundance in the Chicago Metropolitan Area. American Journal of Epidemiology, under review.
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Harris, T., & Liu, Y. (2025). Locally Adaptive Conformal Inference for Operator Models. Transactions on Machine Learning Research, under review. arXiv · Code
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Garrett, R., Harris, T., Wang, Z., & Li, B. (2025). Sliced Elastic Distance for Evaluating Amplitude and Phase Differences in Precipitation Models. Technometrics, under review. arXiv
Peer-reviewed and accepted publications
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Harris, T. (2026). Flow-Based Conformal Predictive Distributions. NeurIPS, accepted. arXiv · Code
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Zhao, S., Kuo, C. L., Lenze, E. J., Wetherell, J. L., Haynes, L., El-Ahmad, P., Fortinsky, R., Kuchel, G., Harris, T., & Diniz, B. S. (2026). A Deep-Learning Based Biomarker of Systemic Cellular Senescence Burden to Predict Mortality and Health Outcomes. Aging Cell, 25(10), e70737. Article
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Li, B., & Harris, T. (2026). Statistics for Climate Science: Differentiation and Integration. Annual Review of Statistics and Its Application, 14. Advance online publication. Article
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Abdi, A. A., Almeida, R., Harris, T., Magalhaes, T., Juarez, J. G., & Hamer, G. L. (2026). Forgotten in the Tropics: Research on Culex Mosquitoes Is Overshadowed in Malaria and Dengue-Endemic Regions. Parasites & Vectors, 19, 248. Article
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Wang, M., Yan, S., Harris, T., Shand, L., & Li, B. (2026). Evaluating the Fingerprint of the Mt. Pinatubo Eruption on Stratospheric Temperatures with Spatial Functional Changepoints. Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics. Advance online publication.
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Abdi, A. A., Juarez, J. G., Harris, T., Magalhaes, T., & Hamer, G. L. (2026). Systematic Review of Aedes aegypti Control Trials Suggests Publication Bias Related to Author Disclosure of Conflicts of Interest. PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases, 20(1), e0013914. Article
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Harris, T., & Sriver, R. (2024). Quantifying Uncertainty in Climate Projections with Conformal Ensembles. Annals of Applied Statistics, accepted. arXiv · Code
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Garrett, R., Harris, T., Wang, Z., & Li, B. (2024). Validating Climate Models with Spherical Convolutional Wasserstein Distance. Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, 37. Spotlight. Paper · Code
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Tonks, A., Harris, T., Li, B., Brown, W., & Smith, R. (2024). Forecasting West Nile Virus with Graph Neural Networks: Harnessing Spatial Dependence in Irregularly Sampled Geospatial Data. GeoHealth, 8(7), e2023GH000784. Article
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Harris, T., Li, B., & Sriver, R. (2023). Multimodel Ensemble Analysis with Neural Network Gaussian Processes. Annals of Applied Statistics, 17(4), 3403-3425.
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Fimbres-Macias, J., Harris, T. A., Hamer, S., & Hamer, G. (2023). Phenology and Environmental Predictors of Triatoma sanguisuga Dispersal in East-Central Texas, United States. Acta Tropica, 240, 106862.
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Wang, M., Harris, T., & Li, B. (2023). Asynchronous Changepoint Estimation for Spatially Correlated Functional Time Series. Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics, 28(1), 157-176.
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Carmody, D., Mazzarello, M., Santi, P., Harris, T., Lehmann, S., Abbiasov, T., Dunbar, R., & Ratti, C. (2022). The Effect of Co-Location on Human Communication Networks. Nature Computational Science, 2(8), 494-503.
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Harris, T., Li, B., & Tucker, J. D. (2022). Scalable Multiple Changepoint Detection for Functional Data Sequences. Environmetrics, 33(2), e2710.
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Harris, T., Li, B., Steiger, N. J., Smerdon, J. E., Narisetty, N., & Tucker, J. D. (2021). Evaluating Proxy Influence in Assimilated Paleoclimate Reconstructions: Testing the Exchangeability of Two Ensembles of Spatial Processes. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 116(535), 1100-1113.
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Harris, T., Tucker, J. D., Li, B., & Shand, L. (2021). Elastic Depths for Detecting Shape Anomalies in Functional Data. Technometrics, 63(4), 466-476.
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Harris, T., & Li, B. (2014). Kriging. Wiley StatsRef: Statistics Reference Online, 1-11.
Manuscript in preparation
Yan, S., Harris, T., Lall, U., & Li, B. Neural Estimation of Conditional Tail Dependence in Global Precipitation Extremes. To be submitted to the Annals of Applied Statistics.
Workshops and other publications
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Zhao, S., & Harris, T. (2026). Latent Dissipative Neural ODEs for Probabilistic Climate Projection. NeurIPS Workshop on Climate Change.
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Harris, T. (2026). Discussion of “A Bayesian Mixed Data Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Model for Synthetic Tabular Data Generation”. ASA Discoveries.
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Greiffenstein, E., Harris, T., & Smith, B. (2025). Forecasting West Nile Virus with Deep Graph Encoders. arXiv. Preprint
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Ringer, R. J., Yoon, H., Kadeethum, T., & Harris, T. (2022). Machine Learning Applications for Estimation of Greenhouse Gas Emissions Using Multiple Satellite Images (SAND2022-16609C). Sandia National Laboratories.